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Презентация на тему Discounted Cash Flow applications

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NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Net present value is the sum of the present values of all the positive cash flows minus the sum of the present values of all the negative cash flows.Interpretation: When the discount rate
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW APPLICATIONS NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Net present value is the sum of the present NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Focus On: Calculations  NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the following cash NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the following cash INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)  INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the following INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the following NPV VS. IRRIf projects are independent, the decision to invest in one NPV VS. IRRFocus On: CalculationsConsider Project C with the following cash flows: IRR CHALLENGESIRR is a very appealing measure because it is intuitive; we PORTFOLIO RETURN MEASUREMENT  HOLDING PERIOD RETURNFocus On: CalculationsYou recently purchased shares of a dividend-paying utility, MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNThe internal rate of return calculated on a portfolio MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: Calculations  MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: Calculations  TIME-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: CalculationsTWR = ?  TIME-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: CalculationsTWR = 2.706%  TWR VS. MWRMoney-weighted returns place greater weight on those periods in which DIFFERING MONEY MARKET YIELDSInstruments that mature in less than a year are BANK DISCOUNT YIELDBy convention, Treasury instruments of less than a year in HOLDING PERIOD YIELD (HPY)Calculated the same way as a holding period return.  EFFECTIVE ANNUAL YIELD (EAY)Calculated the same way as equivalent annual yield using the holding period yield.  MONEY MARKET YIELDThis convention makes the quoted yield on a T-bill comparable YIELD CONVERSIONSWe can convert back and forth using holding period yield, which BOND-EQUIVALENT YIELD (BEY)An annualized periodic yield wherein the process of annualizing is SUMMARYThe process of evaluating projects incorporates two primary decision criteria known as
Слайды презентации

Слайд 2 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
Net present value is the

NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Net present value is the sum of the

sum of the present values of all the positive

cash flows minus the sum of the present values of all the negative cash flows.

Interpretation: When the discount rate applied is an appropriate hurdle rate, it measures the contribution of the project to shareholder wealth.

Decision rule: Accept positive NPV projects ? they increase shareholder wealth.


t = 0

t = 1

t = 2

t = 0

t = 2

t = 4

Initial Outlay0

NPV0 = ?

r = req’d return

t = 4

t = 3

t = 1

t = 3

CF1

CF2

–CF3

CF4


Слайд 3 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
Focus On: Calculations
 

NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Focus On: Calculations 

Слайд 4 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
Focus On: Calculations
Consider Project A

NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the following

with the following cash flows:

The NPV for this project

is…?
Decision?

Consider Project B with the following cash flows:

The NPV for this project is…?
Decision?



Слайд 5 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
Focus On: Calculations
Consider Project A

NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the following

with the following cash flows:

The NPV for this project

is $29,872.52.
Decision ? Accept the project.

Consider Project B with the following cash flows:

The NPV for this project is $27,783.12.
Decision ? Accept the project.



Слайд 6 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)
 

INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) 

Слайд 7 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)
Focus On: Calculations
Consider Project

INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the

A with the following cash flows:

The IRR for this

project is…?
Decision?

Consider Project B with the following cash flows:

The IRR for this project is…?
Decision?


Слайд 8 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)
Focus On: Calculations
Consider Project

INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)Focus On: CalculationsConsider Project A with the

A with the following cash flows:

The IRR for this

project is 21.84%.
Decision? Accept the project.

Consider Project B with the following cash flows:

The IRR for this project is 25.62%.
Decision? Accept the project.


Слайд 9 NPV VS. IRR
If projects are independent, the decision

NPV VS. IRRIf projects are independent, the decision to invest in

to invest in one does not preclude investment in

the other.
NPV and IRR will yield the same investment decisions.
Projects are mutually exclusive if the selection of one project precludes the selection of another project ? project selection is determined by rank.
NPV and IRR may give different ranks when
The projects have different scales (sizes)
The timing of the cash flows differs
If projects have different ranks ? use NPV.

Слайд 10 NPV VS. IRR
Focus On: Calculations
Consider Project C with

NPV VS. IRRFocus On: CalculationsConsider Project C with the following cash

the following cash flows:
The NPV is $28,600.26.
The IRR

is 24.42%.






If the projects are independent, you accept all three.
If the projects are mutually exclusive, you accept Project A even though it has the smallest IRR.
If Projects B and C are mutually exclusive, you accept Project C.

Слайд 11 IRR CHALLENGES
IRR is a very appealing measure because

IRR CHALLENGESIRR is a very appealing measure because it is intuitive;

it is intuitive; we all understand (or think we

do) rates of return.
Unfortunately, IRR has several shortcomings.
We will only realize the IRR as calculated if we
can reinvest all the project cash flows at that IRR, and
hold the investment to maturity.
IRR and NPV can give different rankings when
The scale of the projects being compared is different
The timing of the cash flows is different
Conclusion: NPV should be preferred to IRR.

Слайд 12 PORTFOLIO RETURN MEASUREMENT
 

PORTFOLIO RETURN MEASUREMENT 

Слайд 13 HOLDING PERIOD RETURN
Focus On: Calculations
You recently purchased shares

HOLDING PERIOD RETURNFocus On: CalculationsYou recently purchased shares of a dividend-paying

of a dividend-paying utility, Old Dominion Co., for $23.50.

Today, ODC has just paid a $1.34 dividend, and you have decided to sell your shares. Your market sell order is executed at $24.36. What is your holding period return?



P0 = $23.50

P1 = $24.36
D1 = $1.34


HPR = ?

 

 


Слайд 14 MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURN
The internal rate of return

MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNThe internal rate of return calculated on a

calculated on a portfolio is called the “money-weighted rate

of return.”

Money-weighted rate of return accounts for the timing and amount of dollar flows into and out of the portfolio.
More weight is placed on periods in which more is invested.
Consider the following cash flows for a portfolio over three years.


Слайд 15 MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURN
Focus On: Calculations
 




MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: Calculations 

Слайд 16 MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURN
Focus On: Calculations
 




MONEY-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: Calculations 

Слайд 17 TIME-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURN
Focus On: Calculations

TWR = ?
 

TIME-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: CalculationsTWR = ? 

Слайд 18 TIME-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURN
Focus On: Calculations

TWR = 2.706%
 

TIME-WEIGHTED RATE OF RETURNFocus On: CalculationsTWR = 2.706% 

Слайд 19 TWR VS. MWR
Money-weighted returns place greater weight on

TWR VS. MWRMoney-weighted returns place greater weight on those periods in

those periods in which investment is higher and, therefore,

give a “better” picture of the actual investor experience.
Time-weighted returns remove the effect of inflows and outflows to the portfolio and are, therefore, a better indicator of managerial skill.
In our example, the fund had significantly more money invested during the positive return years, from t = 0 to t = 1 and from t = 2 to t = 3, causing the money-weighted return to be much higher than the time-weighted return.

Слайд 20 DIFFERING MONEY MARKET YIELDS
Instruments that mature in less

DIFFERING MONEY MARKET YIELDSInstruments that mature in less than a year

than a year are known as money market instruments.
There

are a number of different conventions for calculating yields on money market instruments.
Bank discount yield
Holding period yield
Effective annual yield
Money market yield

Слайд 21 BANK DISCOUNT YIELD
By convention, Treasury instruments of less

BANK DISCOUNT YIELDBy convention, Treasury instruments of less than a year

than a year in original maturity (T-bills) have yield

quoted on a bank discount basis.

 






Слайд 22 HOLDING PERIOD YIELD (HPY)
Calculated the same way as

HOLDING PERIOD YIELD (HPY)Calculated the same way as a holding period return. 

a holding period return.
 






Слайд 23 EFFECTIVE ANNUAL YIELD (EAY)
Calculated the same way as

EFFECTIVE ANNUAL YIELD (EAY)Calculated the same way as equivalent annual yield using the holding period yield. 

equivalent annual yield using the holding period yield.
 





Слайд 24 MONEY MARKET YIELD
This convention makes the quoted yield

MONEY MARKET YIELDThis convention makes the quoted yield on a T-bill

on a T-bill comparable to yield quotations on interest-bearing

money market instruments that pay interest on a 360-day basis.

 





Слайд 25 YIELD CONVERSIONS
We can convert back and forth using

YIELD CONVERSIONSWe can convert back and forth using holding period yield,

holding period yield, which is common to all of

the calculations.

 





Слайд 26 BOND-EQUIVALENT YIELD (BEY)
An annualized periodic yield wherein the

BOND-EQUIVALENT YIELD (BEY)An annualized periodic yield wherein the process of annualizing

process of annualizing is accomplished by multiplying the periodic

yield by the number of periods in a year.

By convention, the yield on most bonds is expressed as a bond-equivalent yield instead of as an equivalent annual yield.
Problem: This process ignores intraperiod compounding.
Calculating a BEY:
Compute the period yield to maturity (YTM).
Multiply the periodic YTM by the number of periods in a year.
For example: YTM x 2 for semiannual, YTM x 4 for quarterly


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