pre-crisis average in 2011
FDI inflows
(Billions of dollars)
1 473
1 976
1
7911 198
1 309
1 524
pre-crisis
average 2005-
2007
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
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1 198
1 309
1 524
pre-crisis
average 2005-
2007
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
51%
In 2012 FDI flows, at best, might reach $1.6 trillion:
The slow and bumpy recovery of the global economy, global weak demand and elevated risks related to regulatory policy changes, continue to reinforce the wait-and-see attitude of many transnational companies.
UNCTAD's long-term projections show a moderate rise, with global FDI reaching US$1.8 trillion in 2013 and US$1.9 trillion in 2014, barring any macroeconomic shocks.
… produced $7 trillion in value added (~10% of global GDP) …
In 2011, foreign affiliates of TNCs…
… and managed assets of $82 trillion
FDI flows to transition economies are expected to
continue to grow in the medium term due to:
National investment policy guidelines
Concrete guidance for policymakers on how to formulate investment policies and regulations and on how to ensure their effectiveness
IIA elements: policy options
Clause-by-clause options for negotiators to strengthen the sustainable development dimension of IIAs
Structure and components of the IPFSD
Corporate governance and responsibility
…aligned with sustainable development goals … minimize risk of harmful competition for investment
Investment promotion and facilitation
…adequate protection to established investors … non-discriminatory
Investment protection and treatment
…in line with development strategy … open, stable and predictable entry conditions …
Openness to investment
…in the interest of the public good and to minimize potential negative effects
Right to regulate
…setting out rights and obligations of States and investors in the interest of development
Balanced rights and obligations
…regular reviews for effectiveness and relevance …
Dynamic policymaking
…involving all stakeholders … standards of public governance … predictable, efficient and transparent procedures for investors
Public governance and institutions
…grounded in a country’s overall development strategy … coherent and synergetic …
Policy coherence
…overarching objective of investment policymaking …
Investment for sustainable development
1
3
8
9
11
2
4
5
6
7
10
Core principles for investment policymaking
Ensuring investment policy relevance and effectiveness
Specific guidelines for the design of investment-specific policies and regulations, including not only establishment and operations, treatment and protection of investments, and investment promotion and facilitation, but also investor responsibilities
Guidance on the encouragement of responsible investment and on guaranteeing compliance with international core standards
Guidance on investment promotion and use of incentives in the interest of inclusive and sustainable development
Specific guidelines aimed at minimizing potential negative effects of investment, such as tax avoidance, anti-competitive behaviour, core labour standards, environmental impact
A sub-section on access to land, incorporating the Principles for Responsible Agricultural Investment (PRAI)
Incorporating sustainable development objectives in investment policy
Section on strategic investment priorities and investment policy coherence for productive capacity building, including sub-sections on investment and: Human resource development, Infrastructure (including section on PPPs), Technology, Enterprise development
Attention to investment policy options for the protection of sensitive industries
Sections on other policy areas geared towards overall sustainable development objectives to ensure coherence with investment policy
Integrating investment policy in development strategy
1
2
3