sentiment
Factor
Description
Payment terms from customers
Payment terms for land
Project
development time
Market concentration
Unemployment
GDP growth
Customer activity
08/06/2017
Always included
Included for short term evaluation
Measured by 3 archetypes
Share of options/off balance percent (of total plots) (internal data)
Average time between TG2 and TG4 (internal data)
Market share of top 4 players
Absolute unemployment rate
Forecasted unemployment rate change
Forecasted GDP growth
Number of transaction per inhabitant
Metric
When good (high or low figure)
n/a
High
Low
Low
Low
Low
High
High
Weight
25%
2. Long term demand and supply balance
Population
Demand-Supply balance
Total population in the region
Forecasted population growth
Historic housing price development
High
High
High
3. Market risk
Industry concentration
Country risk
Currency risk
Binary metric (1 or 0). 1 if you have a clear industry concentration
World bank – Ease doing business index
Daily currency volatility
Low
Low
Low
25%
50%
7.5%
7.5%
5%
5%
15%
5%
5%
0%1
25%
25%
1) All current cities score 0 so excluded from analysis